Prediction: Crude Oil

Prediction: Oil prices will spike in the near term with continued global unrest and a greater focus on speculation. The speculation component in oil prices will have an effect on the volatility and not the underlying price.  Therefore, the price for crude will have much wider swings in price. Global unrest will not evaporate as a concern and any strike on Iran will send prices into the stratosphere.  The good news is that new reserves are being discovered in friendly parts of the world (Greenland, Brazil etc.).   Also, Canadian tar sands only run $45 a barrel to produce and oil shale in America will likely play a role within the next 3-5 years.  In a nutshell, crude should be at no more than $65 a barrel when the dust settles.

To view the site, please click here:

http://www.alternativeinvestmentsreview.com/

Jim Sutliff

Posted in Investments, Oil | Leave a comment

Crude Price Chart: 1861-2008

Forbes has a chart of crude oil prices from 1861-2008.

To view the site, please click here:

http://www.forbes.com/business/2005/11/01/oil-prices-1861-today-real-vs-nominal_flash.html

Jim Sutliff

Posted in Oil | Leave a comment

Oil In Record Territory –

Oil prices conitnue to move higher and into record territory.  The effect is being felt by the overrall stock market.

To view a related article, please click here:

http://www.forbes.com/home/feeds/ap/2008/05/07/ap4981171.html

Jim Sutliff

Posted in Investments, Oil | Leave a comment

Hedge Fund Fees –

It is reported that investors are looking to cut out the middelman when it comes to investing to hedge funds.  Funds of Funds will not like this news since they are the middleman.  Investors can look directly to the hedge funds rather than to the selection by Fund of Funds managers. 

To view a related article, please click here:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&sid=a3S1pdmRO.og&refer=home

James Sutliff

Posted in Hedge Funds | Leave a comment

British Refinery Strike Ends –

The refinery strike in Great Britain that sent oil prices rising a couple of days ago is over.  This had a cooling effect on oil prices today and could help spur a decline if the Fed doesn’t lower rates tomorrow.  The inventory report that is due out tomorrow will also play a role in prices.

To view a related article, please click here:

http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5hCTRaSEqM0GrCv-i5poDr7HOS1oA

Jim Sutliff

Posted in Economic News, Oil | Leave a comment

Crude Inventory Rises –

Crude oil supplies rose by over 2 million barrels exceeding expectations.  However, Gasoline and Distillates stocks declined. 

To view a related article, please click here:

http://money.cnn.com/2008/04/23/markets/oil_eia/?postversion=2008042311

JamesvSutliff

Posted in Gasoline, Oil, Options & Futures | Leave a comment

Islamic Finance-

Islamic Finance is a growing at over 10% a year.  Currently, the estimate is that over $500 billion in assets fall in this category. 

To view a related article, please click here:

http://www.forbes.com/markets/2008/04/21/islamic-finance-sharia-islamic-finance-islamicfinance08-cx_ee_mn_0421islam_land.html

Jim Sutliff

Posted in Investments | Leave a comment

Hedge Funds Attract $16.5 Billion –

Hedge Funds brought in $16.5 billion in the first quarter.  This is the lowest for a quarter since 2005.  Lack of investor enthusiam is blamed for the numbers.  However, these numbers are still indicative the strong appeal of hedge funds.  These numbers are still strong for a weakening economy.  

To view a related article, please click here:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a0kpov5kvSQ0&refer=home

Jim Sutliff

Posted in Hedge Funds, Investments | Leave a comment

Global Warming Produces Crude –

Global warming has helped to reveal large deposits of crude oil in Greenland.  In an ironic twist, global warming seems to have been an aid to the discovery of oil deposits in Greenland.  The initial thaw in the 1990s allowed for the discovery when oil was found seeping out of the rocks.  The amount of reserves on one coast is estimated to be over 50 billion barrels.  The slightly warmer climates in Greenland will allow for further exploration as well as more oil rigs.

To view a related article, please click here:

http://business.theage.com.au/thaw-exposes-greenlands-oil/20080327-21uo.html?page=1

James Sultiff

Posted in Investments, Oil | Leave a comment

Inventory Falls –

Crude oil supplies fell almost two and a half million barrels last week.  This was a surprise since supplies were expected to increase.  Also, refinery activity fell to a surprisingly low level.

To view a related article, please click here:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601009&sid=aD5CFYcy0vXA&refer=commodities”>\r\nhttp://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601009&sid=aD5CFYcy0vXA&refer=commodities</a>\r\n<br

Jim Sutliff

Posted in Investments, Oil, Options & Futures | Leave a comment

Private Equity Moves –

Even with the credit crunch the private equity sector rolls forward.  Dealmaking still happens and money still flows in the funds.

To view a related article, please click here:

http://www.wwj.com/Private-Equity-Cash-Rolls-In/1987927″>\r\nhttp://www.wwj.com/Private-Equity-Cash-Rolls-In/1987927</a>\r\n<br

Jim Sutliff

Posted in Investments, Private Equity, Venture Capital | Leave a comment

Oil Rockets –

Oil soared after an inventory report showed a steep decline in supplies rather than the gain that was expected.  This should not have a lasting effect when traders take into account the supply gains of the previous week.  A number of posts back, we suggested looking at the inventory report as a bi-weekly net rather than wek to week.

To view a related article, please click here:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=axPeMFz9amXk&refer=home

James Sutliff

Posted in Oil, Options & Futures | Leave a comment

A Look Ahead –

To check out the market data due out on Wednesday visit CNBC.  It’s a good article that covers a wide range of markets.

To view a related article, please click here:

http://www.cnbc.com/id/24020208

Jim Sutliff

Posted in Banking, Bonds, Economic News, Stocks | Leave a comment

Dollar Decline Expected –

Futures traders are placing their bets on the dollar declining.  Foreigners are selling the dollar as well as major currency traders.  The Global Head of Citigroup, Tom Fitzpatrick, pointed out the deteriorating US economy as a factor.

To view a related article, please click here:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601213&sid=ayVdw2Cfz4pY&refer=home

Jim Sutliff

Posted in Currency, Economic News | Leave a comment

A Whopper Of A Report –

As we predicted yesterday it was a whopper of an inventory report.  Crude oil supplies rose 7.4 million barrels easily exceeding the expected 2.8 million barrel increase.  Gasoline and distillates fell mainly due to refineries cutting runs because of lack of profitability.

To view a related article, please click here:

http://www.rttnews.com/forex/economicnews.asp?date=04/02/2008&item=27

Jim Sutliff

Posted in Oil, Options & Futures | Leave a comment